Penn State
W-L: (32-22) PR = 94.9615Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 7- 4 206 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 7- 0 207 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 4- 3 207 H Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 4- 2 208 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 3- 4 213 A Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 4- 5 213 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 10- 2 214 A Lafayette PAT ( 0- 4, 84.3) 14- 1 214 A Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 4- 1 215 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 11- 5 220 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 0- 9, 85.8) 10- 3 220 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 6- 5 221 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 14- 2 221 A Ohio MA ( 5- 3, 91.9) 16- 1 222 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 7- 0 227 H North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 6- 0 227 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 4 228 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 10- 5 228 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 3 301 A North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 14- 0 301 A North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 14- 0 306 A Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 15- 4 306 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 8- 3 307 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 3- 5 307 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 6- 7 311 A Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 3- 1 313 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 2- 8 314 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 1-10 315 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 5- 6 320 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 5- 6 321 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 14- 8 322 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 4- 7 327 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 8- 3 328 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 7- 9 329 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 7- 5 331 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 7- 8 403 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 13- 5 404 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 16- 4 404 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 2- 0 410 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 2- 8 411 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 4-13 412 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 3-17 414 H Bucknell PAT ( 0- 6, 88.6) 11- 3 417 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 3- 4 418 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 15- 7 419 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 0- 9 421 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 12- 0 424 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 6- 1 425 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 10- 1 426 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 10- 3 502 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 1- 5 502 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 4-10 503 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 5-13 507 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 1- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Missouri 7- 4 3 0 + 3.28
206 A Boston College 7- 0 7 4 + 3.19
207 H BYU 4- 3 1 4 - -3.28
207 H Eastern Kentucky 4- 2 2 6 - -3.50
208 A Auburn 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.47
213 A Incarnate Word 4- 5 -1 4 -- -5.00
213 A Houston 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.89
214 A Lafayette 14- 1 13 10 + 3.09
214 A Houston Christian 4- 1 3 6 - -3.28
215 A Northwestern 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.21
220 A Charleston Southern 10- 3 7 8 -1.39
220 A UCF 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.03
221 H Notre Dame 14- 2 12 3 +++ 9.29
221 A Ohio 16- 1 15 2 +++ 11.67
222 H Kennesaw State 7- 0 7 8 -0.71
227 H North Carolina Central 6- 0 6 11 -- -4.85
227 A Tennessee 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.30
228 H App State 10- 5 5 3 1.96
228 A Tennessee 1- 3 -2 -3 0.70
301 A North Carolina Central 14- 0 14 9 ++ 4.64
301 A North Carolina Central 14- 0 14 9 ++ 4.64
306 A Radford 15- 4 11 4 +++ 6.86
306 A Boston College 8- 3 5 4 1.19
307 H James Madison 3- 5 -2 3 -- -4.98
307 A Virginia Tech 6- 7 -1 -3 1.81
311 A Oregon State 3- 1 2 4 -1.61
313 A Oregon 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.72
314 A Oregon 1-10 -9 -2 --- -6.72
315 A Oregon 5- 6 -1 -2 1.28
320 H Wisconsin 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.88
321 H Wisconsin 14- 8 6 2 ++ 4.12
322 H Wisconsin 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.88
327 H Charlotte 8- 3 5 3 1.60
328 H Florida Atlantic 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.05
329 A Rutgers 7- 5 2 1 1.22
331 A Pittsburgh 7- 8 -1 4 -- -4.51
403 H Maryland 13- 5 8 5 + 2.55
404 H Maryland 16- 4 12 5 +++ 6.55
404 H Maryland 2- 0 2 5 - -3.45
410 H Northwestern 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.28
411 H Northwestern 4-13 -9 0 --- -9.28
412 H Northwestern 3-17 -14 0 --- -14.28
414 H Bucknell 11- 3 8 7 0.89
417 A Ohio State 3- 4 -1 0 -1.37
418 A Ohio State 15- 7 8 0 +++ 7.63
419 A Ohio State 0- 9 -9 0 --- -9.37
421 H Saint Francis 12- 0 12 9 + 3.04
424 A Illinois 6- 1 5 4 0.78
425 H South Carolina 10- 1 9 1 +++ 8.26
426 H Minnesota 10- 3 7 5 + 2.50
502 H Nebraska 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.02
502 H Nebraska 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.02
503 H Nebraska 5-13 -8 -3 -- -5.02
507 A UCLA 1- 6 -5 -5 0.33
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Oregon 1-10 -9 -2 --- -6.72 410 H Northwestern 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.28 411 H Northwestern 4-13 -9 0 --- -9.28 412 H Northwestern 3-17 -14 0 --- -14.28 419 A Ohio State 0- 9 -9 0 --- -9.37 213 A Incarnate Word 4- 5 -1 4 -- -5.00 227 H North Carolina Central 6- 0 6 11 -- -4.85 307 H James Madison 3- 5 -2 3 -- -4.98 322 H Wisconsin 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.88 331 A Pittsburgh 7- 8 -1 4 -- -4.51 503 H Nebraska 5-13 -8 -3 -- -5.02 207 H BYU 4- 3 1 4 - -3.28 207 H Eastern Kentucky 4- 2 2 6 - -3.50 214 A Houston Christian 4- 1 3 6 - -3.28 313 A Oregon 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.72 320 H Wisconsin 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.88 328 H Florida Atlantic 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.05 404 H Maryland 2- 0 2 5 - -3.45 502 H Nebraska 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Northwestern 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.21 221 H Notre Dame 14- 2 12 3 +++ 9.29 221 A Ohio 16- 1 15 2 +++ 11.67 306 A Radford 15- 4 11 4 +++ 6.86 404 H Maryland 16- 4 12 5 +++ 6.55 418 A Ohio State 15- 7 8 0 +++ 7.63 425 H South Carolina 10- 1 9 1 +++ 8.26 213 A Houston 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.89 301 A North Carolina Central 14- 0 14 9 ++ 4.64 301 A North Carolina Central 14- 0 14 9 ++ 4.64 321 H Wisconsin 14- 8 6 2 ++ 4.12 206 A Missouri 7- 4 3 0 + 3.28 206 A Boston College 7- 0 7 4 + 3.19 214 A Lafayette 14- 1 13 10 + 3.09 220 A UCF 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.03 403 H Maryland 13- 5 8 5 + 2.55 421 H Saint Francis 12- 0 12 9 + 3.04 426 H Minnesota 10- 3 7 5 + 2.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 7- 4 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.47 13.73
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 7- 0 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.47 9.91
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 4- 3 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.47 9.48
3 H Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 4- 2 -9.70 9.67 -0.74 0.47 8.34
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 3- 4 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.47 -1.03
3 A Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 4- 5 -9.68 9.69 0.74 0.47 -2.09
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 10- 2 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.47 10.57
3 A Lafayette ( 0- 4, 84.3) 14- 1 -15.59 3.78 0.74 0.47 4.22
3 A Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 4- 1 -11.96 7.41 0.74 0.47 7.61
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 11- 5 -4.47 14.90 0.74 0.47 14.60
3 A Charleston Sou ( 0- 9, 85.8) 10- 3 -14.07 5.30 0.74 0.47 5.64
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 6- 5 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.47 15.37
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 14- 2 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.47 10.94
3 A Ohio ( 5- 3, 91.9) 16- 1 -8.01 11.36 0.74 0.47 11.30
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 7- 0 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.47 6.27
3 H North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 6- 0 -15.04 4.33 -0.74 0.47 3.35
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 4 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.47 -0.52
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 10- 5 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.47 10.64
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 3 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.47 -0.52
3 A North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 14- 0 -15.04 4.33 0.74 0.47 4.73
3 A North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 14- 0 -15.04 4.33 0.74 0.47 4.73
3 A Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 15- 4 -9.83 9.54 0.74 0.47 9.60
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 8- 3 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.47 9.91
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 3- 5 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.47 -1.85
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 6- 7 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.47 -0.50
3 A Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 3- 1 -9.29 10.08 0.74 0.47 10.10
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 2- 8 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.47 -0.62
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 1-10 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.47 -0.62
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 5- 6 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.47 -0.62
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 5- 6 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.47 -1.59
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 14- 8 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.47 11.72
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 4- 7 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.47 -1.59
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 8- 3 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.47 10.29
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 7- 9 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.47 -1.40
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 7- 5 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.47 12.75
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 7- 8 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.47 -1.97
3 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 13- 5 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 0.47 8.39
3 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 16- 4 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 0.47 8.39
3 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 2- 0 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 0.47 8.39
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 2- 8 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.47 -1.22
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 4-13 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.47 -1.22
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 3-17 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.47 -1.22
3 H Bucknell ( 0- 6, 88.6) 11- 3 -11.31 8.06 -0.74 0.47 6.83
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 3- 4 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.47 -1.24
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 15- 7 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.47 13.13
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 0- 9 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.47 -1.24
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 12- 0 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.47 5.11
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 6- 1 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.47 9.53
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 10- 1 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.47 12.78
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 10- 3 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.47 9.27
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 1- 5 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.47 -0.46
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 4-10 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.47 -0.46
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 5-13 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.47 -0.46
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 1- 6 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.47 -0.09
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275.11
|
winning pts = 297.6110 losing points = -22.5051
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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